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Dogecoin Drops 35% as Dogethereum Sentiment Wears Off

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Dogecoin today fell as much as 35 percent from its highest peak since March. The DOGE/USD yesterday established the intraday high near 0.00692-fiat after rising by more than 70 percent in just two days. Just before the yesterday’s close, the pair had undergone a bearish correction towards 0.00540-fiat. The Sunday’s trading session began on a

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Bitcoin Price Secures $7,200 as Shorts Rise Rapidly but Tokens Bleed Out

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

On September 2, short contracts on Bitcoin started to pile up on BitMEX and Bitfinex, a relatively large portion of the crypto market expressed their negative stance on the short-term performance of Bitcoin price. Although Bitcoin has successfully broken out of the $7,200 resistance level on September 1, since late August, the dominant cryptocurrency has

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'Crazy Rich Asians' earns the biggest Labor Day weekend box office in over a decade (TWX)

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Crazy Rich Asians Movie 2

  • "Crazy Rich Asians" wins the domestic box office for a third-straight weekend, earning around $30 million by Labor Day, once again outperforming industry projections.
  • It's the best Labor Day weekend performance in 11 years.
  • It also marks the fourth straight weekend Warner Bros. has topped the domestic box office, going back to when it won the weekend in early August with "The Meg."

The Labor Day holiday weekend has traditionally been slow at the multiplex, as all the big summer hits have come and gone and none of the fall award season titles have come out yet.

But like everything that's happened in theaters this year, even Labor Day is performing above expectations.

Warner Bros.' hit "Crazy Rich Asians" won the domestic weekend box office for a third-straight weekend, with $22.2 million earned over the weekend (just a minuscule 10% drop compared to last weekend) and around $30 million by Labor Day.

That's the best Labor Day weekend performance in 11 years. The only other movie to hit $30 million over the four-day Labor Day holiday weekend was 2007's "Halloween."

"Crazy Rich Asians" now has a domestic total of $111 million, exceeding the expectations of Warner Bros., which has already greenlit a sequel from the Kevin Kwan series of books.

The end of the summer has been great for Warner Bros. This marks the fourth-straight weekend the studio has won the domestic box office, going back to early August when its Jason Statham shark movie, "The Meg," won the weekend.

That title has also kept a nice pace domestically, coming in second place this weekend with $10.5 million and now totaling $112 million domestically (over $450 million worldwide).

This performance by Warner Bros. titles to close the summer proved that sequels weren't the only thing that fueled the season, which had a $4.8 billion total in 2018 — a far cry from last summer's awful 11-year low 3.86 billion.

SEE ALSO: Netflix's hit crime drama series "Ozark" is back with its anticipated season 2

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Elon Musk Plays Along with ETH Giveaway Scam on Twitter

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Barely a few hours after crypto giveaway scam bots on Twitter targeted the official account of Pope Francis to promote a fake bitcoin giveaway, Elon Musk has again been targeted while taking a playful jab at the now-ubiquitous Twitter scam. Responding to a thread under a tweet from Techmeme referencing Twitter’s latest purge of scam bots, Musk

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Is Wright Wrong, Ethereum Block Reward Cut and Big Raises: This Week in Crypto

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Make sure you check out our previous edition here, now let’s go over what happened in crypto this week. Also, make sure you subscribe for this weeks edition of The CCN Podcast on iTunes, TuneIn, Stitcher, Google Play Music, Spotify, Soundcloud, Youtube or wherever you get your podcasts. Price Watch: Bitcoin is up 7.15%  to $7,200 after fluctuating just below the $7,000 mark last Sunday before finally breaking

The post Is Wright Wrong, Ethereum Block Reward Cut and Big Raises: This Week in Crypto appeared first on CCN

An ominous stock market measure is at its most dangerous level in 70 years — here are 7 ways traders can guard against a crash

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Worried nervous trader

  • The Leuthold Group has developed a five-part methodology for assessing how much upside the stock market has at any given time.
  • The firm's latest findings show that this measure is at its most extended level in more than 70 years.
  • Leuthold offers seven recommendations for what investors can do to get ahead of any subsequent market meltdown.

It takes more than one big development to crush a bull market.

But what happens when five areas become problematic? Well, that's when things start to get dicy.

Recent analysis from The Leuthold Group suggests we've already reached this point, and are staring down a potential meltdown.

The firm has formulated a new, stock market-specific twist on a concept called "capacity utilization," which it uses to assess the age of an expansion. The logic behind it is simple: the fuller capacity is, the less upside in something.

Leuthold's stock-specific assessment uses five components. And once they're all weighed, the firm finds that utilization is at a more than 70-year high. That's dangerously extended territory, no matter how you look at it.Screen Shot 2018 08 31 at 10.06.03 AM

"A concurrence of problems often ultimately sinks a stock market," Jim Paulsen, Leuthold's chief investment strategist said. "Essentially, when the stock market reaches 'full capacity' — the point when there is little left to improve upon."

But before we get into what you can do to combat a possible sell-off, let's dig into each of the five drivers that have contributed to this highly precarious situation:

(1) The S&P 500 P/E multiple

Leuthold notes that the S&P 500 price-earnings multiple (P/E) is in the 82nd percentile relative to history. The firm argues that while this is already near full capacity, it should be viewed as even higher, considering some of the data above today's level came amid recessions that crushed earnings.

(2) The 10-year Treasury bond yield

Leuthold points out that the percentile ranking of the 10-year Treasury bond yield is the lowest in post-war history.

"Clearly, after a 35-year secular decline, bond yields have exhausted much of their potential to fall," says Leuthold.

(3) The profit cycle

Leuthold notes S&P 500 profit margins are currently at post-war highs. 

"Moreover, because the economy is at full employment, companies are likely to struggle with intensifying cost pressures," Leuthold says.

(4) US consumer confidence

The level of US consumer confidence is currently higher than it's been 86% of the time since 1952, Leuthold finds. That means its potential upside is severely limited.

(5) US labor unemployment

The current US unemployment rate is in the 92nd percentile of its historic range, according to Leuthold.

"Any further decline is likely to worsen cost-push, inflation, and interest rate pressures," the firm writes.

What the future holds, and how to protect yourself

With all of that in mind, Leuthold points out that this confluence of factors — which has pushed stock-market capacity utilization into its top quintile — has historically led to equity underperformance.

The chart below shows the comparative returns for the S&P 500 when utilization is at varying levels. As you can see, a top-quintile reading has translated to returns that are one-third to one-half of those when utilization is lower.

And, of course, that type of lagging performance on a 3-, 5-, and 10-year basis can include the type of crash that derails a bull market — even if returns surrounding such an event end up translating to overall gains for the period.

Screen Shot 2018 08 31 at 10.10.01 AM

Got all that? It's a lot to absorb. But find solace in the fact that Leuthold has offered seven potential solutions that can help you protect your stock investments. They are as follows:

  1. Tilt your portfolio allocations more toward developed- and emerging-market international stocks, both of which have a lower capacity utilization rate.
  2. Put some cash on the sideline to deploy strategically, in the event of an equity market downturn.
  3. Buy a commodity ETF, since that will give you a better risk-return profile, with the economy at full employment.
  4. Use some hedge-fund tactics, which will theoretically offer competitive returns with limited downside.
  5. Buy some gold as a safe haven against any future investor worry.
  6. Add exposure to cyclical sectors (energy, materials, industrials, financials), as well as some defensive areas (utilities, consumer staples).
  7. Lower your holdings of exorbitantly valued FAANG stocks (Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix, Google).

SEE ALSO: Warren Buffett disciple Scott Black explains why old-school value investing has gotten so difficult — and how he's managed to survive

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Global Bitcoin ATM Market to be Worth $145 Million by 2023: Report

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

As cryptocurrency awareness and adoption grows, the bitcoin ATM market is forecast to expand at a CAGR of over 50% in a five-year period. This is according to a study conducted by business-to-business research firm MarketsandMarkets indicating that the cryptocurrency ATM market will grow at a compound annual growth rate of 54.7% between 2018 and … Continued

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TOM LEE: Ether futures might be a bad thing for the crypto, and a good thing for its biggest rival

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Tom Lee

  • Ether futures might soon come online at the Cboe Global Markets, the Chicago exchange operator. 
  • Bitcoin bull Tom Lee tells Business Insider that might be a bad thing for ether, but a good thing for bitcoin. 

Cboe is telling its trading firm clients that it is getting close to launching a market for ether futures, but that might actually be a bad thing for the cryptocurrency, one expert says. 

Tom Lee, the notorious bitcoin bull who has a $25,000 price target for the coin, told Business Insider that ether futures could hurt ether and actually benefit its larger rival, bitcoin. 

That's because the launch of ether futures would provide an easy way for ether bears to bet against the coin.

Futures, which give investors a way to bet on the future price of an asset, helped propel bitcoin to all-time highs at the end of DecemberBut after they came online, the price of bitcoin tanked and it's down more than 70% since hitting an all-time high at the end of 2017. Ether futures could have a similar impact on the crypto's price, according to Lee. 

On the flip side, Lee said ether futures could benefit bitcoin because they'll provide crypto bears with another way to express their view on the overall market, alleviating pressure on bitcoin shorts. 

"Since December of this year, if one was bearish on any aspect of crypto but did not want to own the underlying, they could short btc," Lee said. "They can now short eth, means the net short on btc in futures would fall."

Cboe would be basing its futures on Gemini's underlying market, people familiar with the situation said. Cboe also based its bitcoin futures on the New York-based crypto exchange run by the Winklevoss twins.

The futures and options exchange is waiting on the Commodities Futures Trading Commission to get comfortable with the product before its official launch, a person with knowledge of the matter said.

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