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Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears

Bitcoin Magazine, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In our previous BTC-USD analysis, there was a fear of a massive Head and Shoulders pattern that had very low price projections for the entire crypto market. In a turn of events, when BTC-USD made its test of the Head and Shoulders neckline, it actually responded in a market reversal.

BTCUSD HS Rejection.png

Figure 1: BTC-USD, 6-hr Candles, GDAX, Head and Shoulders Rejection

Yesterday, the crypto market took a turn upward as the market leader made a Double Bottom Reversal pattern that sent a market-wide bear run into an immediate bull run. As the BTC-USD market made an attempt to test the boundaries of the lower prices of the bear run, volume began to pick up and sent us into a market reversal. How does one spot this pattern and where are we headed in the next few days?

BTCUSD Double Bottom.png

Figure 2: BTC-USD, 30-min. Candles, GDAX

Characteristics of a Double Bottom Reversal pattern include the following:

  1. A descending trendline within an established bear trend (shown in white)

  2. An initial bottom that temporarily reverses before retesting the established low (basically forming a “W” pattern)

  3. After a test of the previously established low, the test is rejected

    1. It is important to note that in order to confirm the reversal pattern, typically you want to see consistent increased volume at the lower values (shown in dark pink)

  4. After the low is rejected a second time, it continues upward and breaks the descending trendline established in step 1 (shown in yellow)

  5. After breaking the descending trendline, the price then forms a “neckline” with the rest of the pattern (shown in light pink)

  6. From there, to confirm the trend reversal, we would want to see a break of the neckline followed by a retest of the neckline (shown in light blue)

All the above characteristics are very strong indicators of a complete bear market reversal into a bull market. As mentioned in the previous BTC-USD analysis, the bear run would continue the trend downward until significant volume picked up. In our case, the volume picked up very strongly and made a complete market reversal. Much like BTC-USD, this pattern is seen throughout several major players in the crypto market: ETH-USD, LTC-USD, ETH-BTC, etc.

It is unclear where the top of the bull run will lead us, but what is clear is that volume has dramatically picked up, indicating market interest in the higher prices. Until the volume begins to die down, the price will continue to push higher.

Summary:
  1. Head and Shoulders pattern was strongly rejected in the form of a Double Bottom Reversal

  2. Bearish trend has ended in a strong bull trend

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on Bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears

Bitcoin Magazine, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin Price Analysis

In our previous BTC-USD analysis, there was a fear of a massive Head and Shoulders pattern that had very low price projections for the entire crypto market. In a turn of events, when BTC-USD made its test of the Head and Shoulders neckline, it actually responded in a market reversal.

BTCUSD HS Rejection.png

Figure 1: BTC-USD, 6-hr Candles, GDAX, Head and Shoulders Rejection

Yesterday, the crypto market took a turn upward as the market leader made a Double Bottom Reversal pattern that sent a market-wide bear run into an immediate bull run. As the BTC-USD market made an attempt to test the boundaries of the lower prices of the bear run, volume began to pick up and sent us into a market reversal. How does one spot this pattern and where are we headed in the next few days?

BTCUSD Double Bottom.png

Figure 2: BTC-USD, 30-min. Candles, GDAX

Characteristics of a Double Bottom Reversal pattern include the following:

  1. A descending trendline within an established bear trend (shown in white)

  2. An initial bottom that temporarily reverses before retesting the established low (basically forming a “W” pattern)

  3. After a test of the previously established low, the test is rejected

    1. It is important to note that in order to confirm the reversal pattern, typically you want to see consistent increased volume at the lower values (shown in dark pink)

  4. After the low is rejected a second time, it continues upward and breaks the descending trendline established in step 1 (shown in yellow)

  5. After breaking the descending trendline, the price then forms a “neckline” with the rest of the pattern (shown in light pink)

  6. From there, to confirm the trend reversal, we would want to see a break of the neckline followed by a retest of the neckline (shown in light blue)

All the above characteristics are very strong indicators of a complete bear market reversal into a bull market. As mentioned in the previous BTC-USD analysis, the bear run would continue the trend downward until significant volume picked up. In our case, the volume picked up very strongly and made a complete market reversal. Much like BTC-USD, this pattern is seen throughout several major players in the crypto market: ETH-USD, LTC-USD, ETH-BTC, etc.

It is unclear where the top of the bull run will lead us, but what is clear is that volume has dramatically picked up, indicating market interest in the higher prices. Until the volume begins to die down, the price will continue to push higher.

Summary:
  1. Head and Shoulders pattern was strongly rejected in the form of a Double Bottom Reversal

  2. Bearish trend has ended in a strong bull trend

Trading and investing in digital assets like bitcoin and ether is highly speculative and comes with many risks. This analysis is for informational purposes and should not be considered investment advice. Statements and financial information on Bitcoin Magazine and BTCMedia related sites do not necessarily reflect the opinion of BTCMedia and should not be construed as an endorsement or recommendation to buy, sell or hold. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.

The post Bitcoin Price Analysis: Double Bottom Reversal Chases Out the Bears appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

Bitcoin donations to a $16 billion charitable fund are soaring

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Screen Shot 2017 06 28 at 4.33.06 PM

Bitcoin is red hot these days. The price of the cryptocurrency is up about 140% since the beginning of this year. And now it looks like bitcoin's popularity among the charitable is also on the rise. 

According to the recently released Fidelity Charitable 2017 Giving Report, donations made in bitcoin to Fidelity Charitable, Fidelity's $16 billion donor-advised philanthropic fund, grew to about $9 million in the first half of 2017. That's about $2 million more than what bitcoin donors contributed in 2016.

The report paints a picture of the nearly 150,000 people who donate to the fund in order to illustrate trends in charitable giving, according to Fidelity Charitable's site.  

Donors to the fund have been able to give in bitcoin since 2015, according to a media representative at Fidelity, after joint collaborations between Fidelity Charitable and Fidelity Labs, Fidelity's emerging technology incubator. 

Fidelity's CEO Abigail Johnson is a bitcoin enthusiast. In May, The Wall Street Journal reported that Johnson voiced her support of the cryptocurrency in a speech at a conference hosted by CoinDesk, a cryptocurrency news site.

“Some of you might be wondering: Why am I here today?” Johnson said, according to the Journal."I’m here because I love this stuff... all that the future might hold.”

Not everyone in the financial world is as bullish as Johnson. Morgan Stanley, for instance, recently said that merchants don't think cryptocurrencies like bitcoin have a viable future. Here's Morgan Stanley:

"Most regulators and investors view cryptocurrencies more as assets than actual currencies. Their values are too volatile and too hard to actually use for payment for most to consider them currencies. Our conversations with some merchants indicate that, while cryptocurrencies might actually be attractive for them to operate their businesses, they find that the cryptocurrencies are far too volatile to be used."

Other obstacles to bitcoin, according to the bank, include the Chinese crackdown on mining bitcoin and declining trading volumes

SEE ALSO: Something called Ethereum is suddenly all over the news — here's what the bitcoin rival is all about

Join the conversation about this story »

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MACQUARIE: Google's ability to make search better for everyone has been choked by the EC fine (GOOGL)

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Sundar Pichai Google

Google was served the biggest antitrust fine in history by the European Commission Tuesday.

The $2.7 billion fine was aimed at Google's shopping practices, which the EC deemed unfair to Google's competition. Macquarie Research thinks that while the practice probably is unfair, the fine severely limits Google's ability to refine and improve its core product, which could mean big headwinds for Google in Europe.

The recent fine dealt directly with how Google shows shopping results at the top of the search, but the company is also facing antitrust investigations into its Android operating system and AdSense advertising platform. Macquarie argues in a recent note to clients that the recent decision to fine Google is a basic assault on its ability to do business in the EU.

Here is the firm's argument in a nutshell.

"In our view, the key issue here is that the EC is first making the (likely correct) determination that Google is dominant in general internet search markets throughout the European Economic Area. It is then, in effect, stating that if Google improves its services within is general offering (e.g., adding shopping services, or potentially a host of other features), then these improvements are harming competitors unfairly. We see this as misguided given that, in our view, Google should (and must) continually improve its offerings if it is to provide consumers and advertisers more useful features. We think improving its product is a good thing even if it means others do not rank as highly as they otherwise might have in the search engine results page," Macquarie wrote.

This argument makes sense. Every company is working to make its products and services more popular. Google put its shopping results at the top of its search page because it had seemingly put a lot of work into the shopping results algorithm and believed it would provide the best results for its users. Thinking in this way is what got Google to its dominant position.

What the EC is arguing then, is that because Google favors itself in its own products, it is anticompetitive simply because of its search engine dominance. This isn't necessarily wrong, but it shows that the EC values a fair market more than good products. A valid choice in a hard decision.

Google Shopping

For Google, Macquarie argues the shopping decision will ripple across the company's entire ecosystem. "Our biggest concern is once the EC takes this stance that by including more functionality in its core offering that Google is acting illegally, it opens the door to potentially even more far-reaching remedies and challenges to Google," Macquarie wrote.

Google has to place something in its search results. When Google chooses its own shopping service to place at the top of results, it is denying other search comparison companies access to that top spot.

This is really powerful. Citing the EC, Macquarie said that the top result in Google's search results receives 35% of the traffic, and moving that search result to the third position means the result received 50% less traffic. The EC claims that that means it's not the relevance of information that drives traffic, but the position in search. Google agrees with this logic, but not with its conclusion.

"GOOG claims that the EU’s decision underestimates the value that GOOG’s features provides users, and that customers usually prefer links that take them directly to the products themselves, not to other websites where they have to repeat their search," Macquarie wrote.

"Google’s response also points to other online retail platforms like Amazon and eBay, who have their own comparison tools, and particularly cites AMZN as being a “first port of call ” for product searches. Essentially, Google’s response is that large online retailers like Amazon and eBay are its real competition in this space, not legacy comparison sites (where GOOG believes its functionality is superior for both third-party retailers and customers), and in that broader e-commerce landscape, we think GOOG clearly does not have a dominant position."

Google may still appeal the decision, according to Macquarie. If it does, it would be arguing that a better product which serves users is more important than allowing fair competition on the platform. More broadly, it would be arguing its right to develop its product however the company sees fit, even as its dominant position means these developments can have an outsized impact on competitors.

Even if Google doesn't appeal, it is still fighting two other antitrust cases in the EU, regarding Android and AdSense. Both of these other cases come down to the same basic principle. Given the recent outcome, Macquarie still rates Alphabet, Google's parent company, a buy with a price target of $995 that is 2.4% higher than Alphabet's current price.

Google's stock slipped after the decision Tuesday, along with general FAANG stocks. Google is trading flat on Wednesday.

Click here to watch Google's stock price in real time...

Google stock price

SEE ALSO: Google's record-breaking antitrust fine is sending the stock slipping

Join the conversation about this story »

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MACQUARIE: Google's ability to make search better for everyone has been choked by the EC fine (GOOGL)

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Sundar Pichai Google

Google was served the biggest antitrust fine in history by the European Commission Tuesday.

The $2.7 billion fine was aimed at Google's shopping practices, which the EC deemed unfair to Google's competition. Macquarie Research thinks that while the practice probably is unfair, the fine severely limits Google's ability to refine and improve its core product, which could mean big headwinds for Google in Europe.

The recent fine dealt directly with how Google shows shopping results at the top of the search, but the company is also facing antitrust investigations into its Android operating system and AdSense advertising platform. Macquarie argues in a recent note to clients that the recent decision to fine Google is a basic assault on its ability to do business in the EU.

Here is the firm's argument in a nutshell.

"In our view, the key issue here is that the EC is first making the (likely correct) determination that Google is dominant in general internet search markets throughout the European Economic Area. It is then, in effect, stating that if Google improves its services within is general offering (e.g., adding shopping services, or potentially a host of other features), then these improvements are harming competitors unfairly. We see this as misguided given that, in our view, Google should (and must) continually improve its offerings if it is to provide consumers and advertisers more useful features. We think improving its product is a good thing even if it means others do not rank as highly as they otherwise might have in the search engine results page," Macquarie wrote.

This argument makes sense. Every company is working to make its products and services more popular. Google put its shopping results at the top of its search page because it had seemingly put a lot of work into the shopping results algorithm and believed it would provide the best results for its users. Thinking in this way is what got Google to its dominant position.

What the EC is arguing then, is that because Google favors itself in its own products, it is anticompetitive simply because of its search engine dominance. This isn't necessarily wrong, but it shows that the EC values a fair market more than good products. A valid choice in a hard decision.

Google Shopping

For Google, Macquarie argues the shopping decision will ripple across the company's entire ecosystem. "Our biggest concern is once the EC takes this stance that by including more functionality in its core offering that Google is acting illegally, it opens the door to potentially even more far-reaching remedies and challenges to Google," Macquarie wrote.

Google has to place something in its search results. When Google chooses its own shopping service to place at the top of results, it is denying other search comparison companies access to that top spot.

This is really powerful. Citing the EC, Macquarie said that the top result in Google's search results receives 35% of the traffic, and moving that search result to the third position means the result received 50% less traffic. The EC claims that that means it's not the relevance of information that drives traffic, but the position in search. Google agrees with this logic, but not with its conclusion.

"GOOG claims that the EU’s decision underestimates the value that GOOG’s features provides users, and that customers usually prefer links that take them directly to the products themselves, not to other websites where they have to repeat their search," Macquarie wrote.

"Google’s response also points to other online retail platforms like Amazon and eBay, who have their own comparison tools, and particularly cites AMZN as being a “first port of call ” for product searches. Essentially, Google’s response is that large online retailers like Amazon and eBay are its real competition in this space, not legacy comparison sites (where GOOG believes its functionality is superior for both third-party retailers and customers), and in that broader e-commerce landscape, we think GOOG clearly does not have a dominant position."

Google may still appeal the decision, according to Macquarie. If it does, it would be arguing that a better product which serves users is more important than allowing fair competition on the platform. More broadly, it would be arguing its right to develop its product however the company sees fit, even as its dominant position means these developments can have an outsized impact on competitors.

Even if Google doesn't appeal, it is still fighting two other antitrust cases in the EU, regarding Android and AdSense. Both of these other cases come down to the same basic principle. Given the recent outcome, Macquarie still rates Alphabet, Google's parent company, a buy with a price target of $995 that is 2.4% higher than Alphabet's current price.

Google's stock slipped after the decision Tuesday, along with general FAANG stocks. Google is trading flat on Wednesday.

Click here to watch Google's stock price in real time...

Google stock price

SEE ALSO: Google's record-breaking antitrust fine is sending the stock slipping

Join the conversation about this story »

NOW WATCH: An economist explains the key issues that Trump needs to address to boost the economy

Bitcoin Legal Experts: nChain SegWit Criticisms Are Flawed

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

An evaluation of the possible legal risks of a bitcoin protocol change written by startup nChain has been criticised by industry legal experts.

Source

New York Preschools Accept Bitcoin and Ether for Tuition Payments

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Two private preschools in New York City now allow parents to pay for tuition with bitcoin, ether and litecoin.

Source

New York Preschools Accept Bitcoin and Ether for Tuition Payments

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Two private preschools in New York City now allow parents to pay for tuition with bitcoin, ether and litecoin.

Source

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