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Ether Price Analysis: Decrease in Buy Volume Pushes Price Lower

Bitcoin Magazine, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Ether Price Analysis

Over the past week, ETH-USD markets have seen a steady bleed as prices have slumped lower and lower. Any buy-back volume the markets managed to see was gradually eroded as the overall trend headed downward:

ETHUSD Macro Trend.png

Figure 1: ETH-USD, 4HR Candles, Gemini, Descending Trendline

As predicted in last week’s ETH-USD analysis, a failure to see any significant increase in buy volume led the market to see further tests of the Fibonacci Retracement values. At the time of this article, the market is rejecting the neckline of the previous Double Bottom Reversal (shown in yellow and noted at the 61% retracement values) and has moved on to retest the 50% retracement:

ETHUSD Fib Retracement.png

Figure 2: ETH-USD, 1HR Candles, GDAX, Fibonacci Retracement Values

Multiple tests of the 50% and 61% values are very common in both downward and upward trends and can sometimes provide great opportunities for short-term market trades due to the predictable support and resistance values. Today’s rejection of the 61% line is not entirely surprising; a lot of volume entered the market upon the arrival of the Double Bottom Reversal from last week, marking a potential turnaround from a strong bear market to a short-lived bull market. Ultimately, after failing to retrace the downtrend of the previous bear market, the bullish trend subsided and continued its way toward lower values.

In the coming days, don’t expect to see any strong upward movement from ETH-USD markets without a test of lower values. As we continue to test the Fibonacci Retracement values, we can expect to see some turbulence surrounding another test of the 50% and ultimately a test of the 61% values. If we manage to slide below the 61% line, there isn’t much in terms of support before the market reaches the lower $200s. A drop below the 61% line could lead to another slip of $50 as the market will ultimately try to find its next line of support.

Summary:

  1. The ETH-USD price has seen a slow descending trend as multiple tests of the established Fibonacci Retracement values have continued.

  2. If ETH-USD drops below the 61% Fibonacci Retracement values, a pullback to the $200s is most likely — this is a significant level of support below the $250s.

The post Ether Price Analysis: Decrease in Buy Volume Pushes Price Lower appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

Former Dogecoin Exchange CEO Faces Fraud Charges

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

UK police have brought fraud and money laundering charges against Ryan Kennedy, the founder the now-defunct dogecoin exchange service Moolah.

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What you need to know on Wall Street today

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Elon Musk black tie Tesla SpaceXWelcome to Finance Insider, Business Insider's summary of the top stories of the past 24 hours. 

Does Minneapolis Fed president Neel Kashkari have any dovish allies on the Fed's Open Market Committee who are skeptical of further interest-rate increases, or is he all alone in dissenting against more hikes this year?

That's the main question investors will be looking to answer as they rifle through minutes from the central bank's June meeting, due out Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET. Check back here for the latest from the Fed minutes

In markets news, Worldpay shares dropped sharply after it agreed to a £9.1 billion deal with Vantiv. One of the market's hottest trades just had its biggest day yet. And Wall Street is at war with traders over the future of bank stocks

In finance news, Deutsche Bank has made another big hire focused on dealmaking in the tech sector. The hedge fund famous for betting against the 'London Whale' is closing its London office. A new survey shows a lot of young Wall Streeters want out. And the world's oldest bank has a plan to leave the "emergency room" and return to profit.

Everyone is focusing on five things they can't control, according to Jefferies. A former banker who raked in $100 million for Morgan Stanley is fighting for his bonus check. And hedge fund titan Ken Griffin described the "incredibly humiliating" moment his firm nearly went under.

One of the world's biggest bitcoin exchanges has been hacked. Federal prosecutors asked a US judge for a gag order to muzzle Martin Shkreli. And Amazon and Google share prices were wrongly reported down more than 80% after test data went live.

Exxon got stuck in the middle as Russia-US relations broke down — and needs a solution soon.

It looks like demand for Teslas has peaked, according to Goldman Sachs. Tesla's stock price is down nearly 5% on the day

Lastly, here's what it's like to spend July 4th in the most expensive vacation town in America.

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NOW WATCH: An economist explains how demand for labor creates inflation — and what the Fed can do about it

Goldman Sachs Eyes Bitcoin Price Near $4,000 in Latest Analysis

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin markets could rise as high as $3,900, according to a recent client note from investment bank Goldman Sachs.

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Op Ed: Initial Coin Offering Risk Factors: More Than Just Legalese

Bitcoin Magazine, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Initial Coin Offering Risk Factors: More Than Just Legalese

Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) are where cryptographic computing and federal securities laws collide. As investors lacking the technical expertise of early market entrants throw their money into cryptocurrency presales, regulatory agencies like the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission cannot be expected to sit on the sidelines much longer.

Even if regulators do not act, when a presale results in nothing more than profits for its promoter, a disgruntled investor will inevitably make a private securities fraud claim to try and claw back some of their capital; assuming a court will determine a presale of digital tokens to be a private placement of securities, any such federal claim would fall under Rule 10b-5.

However, without conceding the point as to whether digital assets are securities (enough ink has already been spilled on the Howey test), white papers are evolving into documents resembling private placement memoranda typical in a standard Rule 506 private offering of securities. Additionally, a presale purchase agreement is starting to mirror a standard securities purchase agreement. These hybrid documents represent a hedge against current conventional wisdom that digital tokens are not securities.

Disclosure Is Key

Rather than pulling a set of standard securities offering risk factors and slapping them onto the back of its white paper (increasingly, risk factors are being attached as an exhibit to the technical document), some consensus appears to be emerging among practitioners regarding cryptocurrency risk factors that should be disclosed, including:

  • Regulatory risk associated with an undeveloped and emerging body of law both in the United States and internationally;

  • Unexpected transfer restrictions resulting from new regulations;

  • Uncertain tax consequences relating to an investment in digital assets;

  • No guarantee that any digital token will be tradeable on any exchange;

  • Illiquidity and volatility of any cryptocurrency;

  • Potential loss of digital currencies and wallet risks;

  • Malfunction, breakdown or abandonment of Bitcoin or Ethereum protocol;

  • 51 percent attack risk with any new cryptocurrency; and

  • Failure to properly incentivize miners.

Also, any developer contemplating a presale should take pains to disclose the material risk that the digital token will never make it to an initial coin offering.

While not a blanket defense, a robust recitation of the risks associated with an investment in an ICO could be an important tool in blunting a Rule 10b-5 claim or similar action under associated state securities laws, as it may, among other things, short-circuit the required scienter (i.e., bad intent) element.  

Generally, claims of fraud and misrepresentation are made only after an investment does not perform and are frequently viewed through the lens of “20-20 hindsight.” Including risk factors and other cautionary language in ICO materials can play an important role in staving off liability under the judicial “bespeaks caution” doctrine, by warning potential investors about what could go wrong or cause an investment not to perform as anticipated.

Caveat Emptor: Some Things to Look For

Counterintuitively, investors should appreciate — and maybe even ascribe value to — seeing risk factors. Risk factors can serve as a “canary in a coal mine” for investors, in a positive sense. Their presence most likely means that a legal team has reviewed the ICO and provided legal diligence and feedback.

On the other hand, potential investors should be very concerned if risk factors are not customized for the ICO. In that case, an investor may wonder whether the ICO simply cut and pasted the risk factors for another project. If so, that could be a red flag that the ICO did not get a legal review, or that the counsel reviewing it is unsophisticated with respect to ICOs.

Until more clarity emerges around the seminal question of whether digital currencies are securities, expect a continuing creep of legalese into the formally technical documents used in ICOs. It is incumbent on all participants in the process to perform due diligence and understand all risks in order to protect themselves.

This article is a guest post by Gray Sasser and Josh Rosenblatt. It does not necessarily reflect the views of BTC Media or Bitcoin Magazine and is for general information purposes only; it should not be taken as investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consult with a qualified tax/investment professional before attempting anything described in this article.

The post Op Ed: Initial Coin Offering Risk Factors: More Than Just Legalese appeared first on Bitcoin Magazine.

South Korean Bitcoin Exchange to Pay Back Users After Account Thefts

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

South Korea's largest bitcoin and ether exchange is moving to compensate users after it emerged that the site's data systems had been compromised.

Source

One of the world's biggest bitcoin exchanges has been hacked

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

bank robbery vault thief cash money security hacking

One of the largest bitcoin exchanges in the world has been hacked and 30,000 customers' data has been compromised, according to a report from Yonhap News.

Bithumb is based in South Korea, and the country's internet watchdog Internet & Security Agency is investigating after some customers say they lost money in the attack.

Bithumb did not immediately respond to Business Insider's request for comment, though it reportedly says that users' passwords were not stolen.

It's one of the busiest exchanges in the world. On Tuesday, Motherboard reported that it was the fourth largest globally in terms of volumes of all cryptocurrencies traded daily; by Wednesday it had jumped to first place.

In a statement, Bithumb said (via cryptocurrency news site BraveNewCoin) that it was an employee computer that was compromised, rather than its core servers:

"The employee PC, not the head office server, was hacked. Personal information such as mobile phone and email address of some users were leaked. However, some customers were found to have been stolen from because of the disposable password used in electronic financial transactions.”

BraveNewCoin reports that "billions" of won has been stolen. For context, one billion won is equal to around $870,000, or £670,000. As such, it is markedly smaller than some previous hacks of bitcoin exchanges, such as the now-infamous Mt. Gox, where $460 million (at then-current prices) in bitcoin disappeared in 2014. Some Bithumb users were reportedly victims of "phishing," where someone phoned them up saying they worked for Bithumb and scammed them out of funds.

The incident underscores the fact that it is not just investors and digital currency enthusiasts who are excited by the current surge of interest in cryptocurrencies. Criminals are also eyeing up businesses that hold bitcoin and its sister currencies, and no-one can promise absolute security.

There has been a wild surge of interest in Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other digital currencies over the last month, with prices surging to all-time highs. Bitcoin is currently worth $2,578 per coin, with a total global market cap of $42 billion, while Ethereum trades for $263 with a market cap of $24 billion, according to data from CoinDesk.

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NOW WATCH: Every map of Louisiana is a lie — what it really looks like should scare you

Hackers steal Bitcoin funds from Bithumb exchange traders

BBC, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

The Bithumb exchange is probed after users' details were reportedly stolen from an employee's home PC.

10 things you need to know before the opening bell

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Hot dog eating contest

Here is what you need to know.

North Korea launches an ICBM. A North Korean test of an intercontinental ballistic missile early Tuesday, "confirmed later by US and South Korean officials, is a momentous step forward for Pyongyang as it works to build an arsenal of long-range nuclear-armed missiles that can hit anywhere in the United States," the Associated Press says.

Fed minutes are coming. The minutes will be released at 2 p.m. ET and could reveal more details about the Fed's plan to unwind its massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet.

The 10-year is at its highest level since May 12. The US 10-year yield ticked to 2.35% during light holiday trade on Tuesday, and it is probing the "critical level" of 2.32% singled out by bond guru Jeff Gundlach.

A 'creeping doubt' is dragging down the dominant sector of Britain's economy. The latest PMI data from IHS Markit drew a 53.4 in June, down from May's 53.8, "as the UK's departure from the EU and the unpredictable political climate continues to impact on consumers and businesses alike," says Duncan Brock, the director of customer relationships at CIPS, which helps compile the survey.

There's a whale in Australia's bond market. An unknown bidder bought the entire $800 million offering of bonds due in April 2029.

Goldman Sachs says bitcoin could see a big drop before climbing to almost $4,000. Sheba Jafari, Goldman's head of technical strategy, wrote in a note to clients on Sunday that the cryptocurrency was "still in a corrective 4th wave" and that its price could fall to $1,857 before climbing as high as $3,915. Bitcoin is now trading down by 0.5% at $2,563.

Nasdaq test data wrongly reported Amazon and Google share prices were down more than 80%. Following Tuesday's closing bell, the Nasdaq set test data live that showed the share prices of Amazon and Google down by more than 80%. Prices for about 16 stocks were affected.

Stock markets around the world are mixed. China's Shanghai Composite (+0.76%) led the gains in Asia, and France's CAC (+0.09%) paces a quiet session in Europe. The S&P 500 is set to open lower by 0.2% near 2,424.

Earnings reports trickle out. Yum China reports after markets close.

US economic data is light. Factory orders and durable-goods orders will be released at 10 a.m. ET.

Join the conversation about this story »

10 things you need to know before the opening bell

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Hot dog eating contest

Here is what you need to know.

North Korea launches an ICBM. "A North Korean test of an ICBM, confirmed later by U.S. and South Korean officials, is a momentous step forward for Pyongyang as it works to build an arsenal of long-range nuclear-armed missiles that can hit anywhere in the United States," AP says.

Fed minutes are coming. The minutes will be released at 2 p.m. ET and could reveal more details about the Fed's plan to unwind its massive $4.5 trillion balance sheet.

The 10-year is at its highest level since May 12. The US 10-year yield ticked to 2.35% during light holiday trade on Tuesday, and is probing the "critical level" of 2.32% singled out by bond guru Jeff Gundlach.

A 'creeping doubt' is dragging down the dominant sector of Britain's economy. The latest PMI data from IHS Markit drew a 53.4 in June, down from May's 53.8 "as the UK’s departure from the EU and the unpredictable political climate continues to impact on consumers and businesses alike," says Duncan Brock, Director of Customer Relationships at CIPS — which helps compile the survey.

There's a whale in Australia's bond market. An unknown bidder bought the entire $800 million offering of bonds due in April 2029.

Goldman Sachs says bitcoin could see a big drop before climbing to almost $4,000. Sheba Jafari, Goldman's head of technical strategy, wrote in a note to clients on Tuesday that the cryptocurrency was "still in a corrective 4th wave" and that its price could fall to $1,857 before climbing as high as $3,915. Currently, bitcoin trades down 0.5% at $2,563.

Nasdaq test data wrongly reported Amazon and Google share prices were down more than 80%. Following Tuesday's closing bell, the Nasdaq set test data live which showed the share prices of Amazon and Google down more than 80%. Prices for about 16 stocks were affected.

Stock markets around the world are mixed. China's Shanghai Composite (+0.76%) led the gains in Asia and France's CAC (+0.09%) paces a quiet session in Europe. The S&P 500 is set to open lower by 0.2% near 2,424.

Earnings reports trickle out. Yum China reports after markets close.

US economic data is light. Factory orders and durable goods orders will be released at 10 a.m. ET.

Join the conversation about this story »

How two countries helped drive the recent rise in cryptocurrency prices

TechCrunch, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

The acceptance of virtual currencies by both the Chinese and Japanese governments are driving cryptocurrency growth, with China on the cusp of establishing its own currency, and Japan regulating bitcoin as true legal payment. Read More

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