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Bitcoin Price Trading Above $200

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin price breakout to the upside after completing a corrective decline over the past few days. This analysis is provided by xbt.social with a 3 hour delay. Read the full analysis here. Bitcoin Price Analysis Time of analysis: 14h30 UTC Bitfinex 1-Hour Chart A price surge from $192 happened following a few days of corrective […]

The post Bitcoin Price Trading Above $200 appeared first on CryptoCoinsNews.

Federal Reserve Bank VP: We’re a Protocol Just Like Bitcoin

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Talking to CoinDesk, St Louis Fed VP David Andolfatto suggests the bitcoin network isn’t that much different from the Federal Reserve.

How A Housing Crisis Can Hobble A Nation's Economy For Years

Business Insider, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

house fire flame burn

A property price crash can cripple a nation's economy for years to come, according to a new paper by the IMF.

Although most people understand that the crisis of 2007-2008 led to a housing-price collapse and the Great Recession that followed, the new paper describes exactly why it is that a housing bubble also manages to trigger unemployment, revenue decline at corporations, and lower GDP.

One chart shows that even years later, consumer spending in Ireland — one of the hardest hit by the crash — remains up to 20% below its peak. (Private consumption is normally the largest component of a developed nation's total GDP.)

For many countries, the run-up to the financial crisis was marked by the sharp concentration of investment in the housing market both by individuals and the financial sector.

Indeed, as Matthew Klein puts it in a recent article in FT Alphaville, "the growth of the financial sector since the 1970s can be attributed almost entirely to the explosion of mortgage credit (mostly residential but also commercial) rather than lending for business investment or traditional consumer borrowing".

So what happens when the housing market goes bust?

A recent International Monetary Fund (IMF) paper looked at the fortunes of four European countries over the crisis that all experienced housing booms followed by busts — Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, and Spain. Although the differences in their experiences are marked in terms of the severity of the downturns they experienced, there are a number of common features that could prove crucial to our understanding of the impact of future economic shocks.

Firstly, falling house prices lowered demand both during and after the crisis. This is because lower prices reduce the amount of borrowing that households can raise against their property. Less access to credit tends to mean less spending, generally.

It also increases the loan-to-value ratio of mortgage debt (the value of the debt will rise as a percentage of the value of the property as prices fall). In some cases, this leads to negative equity, whereby even selling the house will not be sufficient to repay the debt. This traps people in their properties, prevents them from borrowing further against the property, or forces them into bankruptcy.

In all scenarios, the owners can't clear their debts or take a profit on a sale — and that depresses spending too.

Moreover, housing has increasingly become the savings vehicle of choice. Substantial falls in the value of housing assets could have implications for the sustainability of people's finances in retirement and force precautionary saving (people holding on to more of their income rather than spending it) in order to compensate for this perceived shortfall.

As you can see from the IMF chart below, falling house prices appeared to have weighed on private consumption in all of the countries that the paper looked at during the crisis. Note how far Ireland's consumption has fallen from the peak:

IMF housing crash paperHowever, the housing bust also impacted demand by curtailing investment both directly and by restricting small business investment, which is overwhelmingly secured against property. This has the short-term impact of reducing the amount currently being spent in an economy, but also longer-term costs as it holds back new business creation and prevents investment to expand existing small businesses.

IMF Housing Crash paper Investment

If prices fail to return to pre-bust levels, a housing crash can leave a large debt overhang, forcing households to focus on paying down their debts and constraining domestic demand. At the end of 2013 almost 30% of mortgages in the Netherlands were still categorised as "underwater" (the value of the property is worth less than the mortgage held against it), while in Ireland that figure is a staggering 52%.

By contrast the figure for the US is 13% and for the UK it is somewhere between 1.6-6.4%.

IMF Housing Crash paper mortgages

And this time really is different. As the IMF says:

"High private-sector indebtedness could be one factor behind weak domestic demand, as (i) both the peak level of debt and the increase in debt during the boom were much higher in the current episodes than during past episodes and (ii) a number of studies (e.g., IMF, 2012; Mian and Sufi, 2014) find that debt overhang tends to weigh heavily on growth following financial crises."

This debt overhang will continue to exert an economic drag for years after the initial impact of the financial crisis has abated, holding down growth, lowering the ability of people to move to find new jobs and maintaining pressure on household finances. As such the effects of a housing crash should be seen as the long tail of the Great Recession beast — still thrashing about even after the threat of catastrophe has been averted.

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After The Social Web, Here Comes The Trust Web

TechCrunch, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

trust The bitcoin train is really made up of two revolutions in one: Money and finance, based on the bitcoin protocol, and exploiting the “currency programmability” aspects; and decentralized applications, based on the blockchain’s distributed technology capabilities. Read More

ChangeTip Now Allows Facebook Friends to Tip in Bitcoin

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin microtransactions startup ChangeTip, which allows people to send bitcoin tips over social media, has now added Facebook to its list of supported platforms. With the move, ChangeTip adds to its existing list of popular social media services, which include Twitter and Reddit. However, the team framed the integration of Facebook as a notable step forward. By leveraging the world’s largest social […]

'Bitcoin Box' Can Process Payments With No Web Connection

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Bitcoin Box is a prototype bitcoin payment terminal that relies on NFC and Bluetooth to enable offline payments.

DevCore Boston Launches Bitcoin Foundation’s Developer Roundtables

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Next month, DevCore Boston launches a series of roundtables sponsored by Bitcoin Foundation for developers interested in deepening their technical expertise to support the future development of Bitcoin Core. The roundtable will be on Wednesday, Feb. 11, 2015 and will run from 8:30 a.m. to 4 p.m. at District Hall, 75 Northern Ave. in Boston, Mass. […]

The post DevCore Boston Launches Bitcoin Foundation’s Developer Roundtables appeared first on CryptoCoinsNews.

TNABC Day 1: Bitcoin Industry Undeterred Despite Price Decline

CoinDesk, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

Day one of The North American Bitcoin Conference illustrated how the bitcoin industry is pressing forward and turning ideas into action.

Virtual Currency Today Summit Convenes in Boston April 29

CryptoCoins News, 1/1/0001 12:00 AM PST

The Virtual Currency Today Summit organized by Networld Media Group will look at the factors that will shape the adoption and growth of Bitcoin and other digital currencies. The event will be held April 29, 2015 at the Hilton Boston Back Bay in Boston, Mass. Expert panelists will offer insights on how market stakeholders can push through […]

The post Virtual Currency Today Summit Convenes in Boston April 29 appeared first on CryptoCoinsNews.

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